Graphic: National Hurricane Centre.
Updated 26 September: And finally it was over. We’ve had a forecast of a resurgent tropical storm that fizzled out, promised rain which was little more than light drizzle, then a calima out of nowhere … and today, Aemet is promising a return to cool, moist weather with the reappearance of the alisios from the north from later today. Aemet says that the high cloud we’ve had since the Paulette days will be replaced by low cloud and much cooler air at all levels from this afternoon, most noticeable tomorrow. As the alisios return “con fuerza”, it’ll be windy. Very windy at times, especially around the coast, and as a result Aemet has issued a yellow alert for costeros … please see HERE for an explanation of these coastal phenomena and for how to stay safe in and near Tenerife’s waters.
Updated 23 September: Who’d be a meteorologist?! Paulette is history, they say, trapped by a high-level low pressure trough of polar air that is sucking out the warm damp air that has given the islands such a muggy feeling the last few days. The trough is to the west of the Canaries at present, generating a convection zone that could bring rain and squally conditions from later today. No-one could say that we don’t need some rain!
Original post 21 September: We last heard of Tropical Storm Paulette nine days ago (see HERE) when it was heading out across the Atlantic and being partly responsible for some rather spectacular cloudy skies here. It ended up as a category 2 hurricane near Bermuda and now, Paulette is returning to us. The storm has lost much of its force and is now classified as a Post Tropical Storm. It seems, however, to be regaining strength with a 60% chance currently of again achieving Tropical Storm status. Either way, it’s heading towards the Canaries.
We are not likely to be directly affected, however, with meteorologists saying that at worst, even if Paulette completely regains full Tropical Storm status, it will bring a bit of unsettled weather and some scattered showers at most. Since its likeliest course will see it heading bewteen the Canaries and the Azores, it will be to our northwest, and so La Palma is likely to get the worst of it, such as it’s presently expected to be.
A situation in development, as they say, just like Paulette itself! Aemet says that Paulette’s return will be a case of mucho ruido y pocas nueces (all talk and no action – literally ‘much noise and few nuts’). Let’s hope so!